2024年５月13日（月） WeSCoS Colloquium＃08/Hydrosphere Science Seminar「The rise of the machines & the journey of imagination」（Hannah Cloke OBE, Professor, University of Reading, UK and Florian Pappenberger, Director of Forecast, ECMWF, UK ）を開催します。（要事前申し込み）

日時：2024年5月13日（月）15:00～17:00　

＃08：The rise of the machines & the journey of imagination 　
報告者：Hannah Cloke OBE (Professor of Hydrology, University of Reading, UK）and Florian Pappenberger (Deputy Director-General & Director of Forecasts and Services, European Centre of Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

概要：
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) is making exciting developments in using Machine learning to create an earth system model for forecasting weather, ocean and land surface days to months ahead. In this talk we review the latest developments and compare Machine learning forecasts with traditional physics based forecasts for extreme weather events across the globe. We also show some Tropical Cyclone Forecasts with Machine Learning. The Machine Learning forecasts are doing very impressively and are already outperforming traditional forecasts in some areas, with the skill of precipitation 2 days ahead of traditional forecasts
We then turn to the challenge of forecasting surprise floods and show how we are getting better at seeing the future and forecasting the possibility of extreme floods, using examples from recent severe flood events around the world. We discuss how forecasts from earth system models (including machine learning models) are completely pointless unless people know what to do when a flood happens. We show that Imagination is essential in being able to take decisions to keep families, communities and nations safe from dangerous floods .

場所：Zoom

言語：英語

参加方法：事前の参加申込が必要です。お申し込みはこちらからお願いします。

主催：東京大学工学部社会基盤学科水圏環境グループ
共催：澤田ムーンショットプロジェクト（WeSCoS）「社会的意思決定を支援する気象－社会結合系の制御理論」

WeSCoS Colloquiumについては、こちらをご覧ください。